Tag: strategy

  • When to Walk Away From a Deal

    When to Walk Away From a Deal

    The pressure to close a deal has a way of warping your judgement. You’ve spent weeks in calls, exchanged dozens of emails, maybe even flown somewhere for a meeting, and now the thing that matters most is getting it done rather than whether it’s actually any good. That slow drift from evaluating a deal to just finishing it is how most bad agreements get signed.

    Knowing when to walk away isn’t a failure of persistence. It’s one of the most disciplined things you can do in business development, and it’s considerably rarer than it should be.

    The sunk cost problem

    The hardest part isn’t spotting a bad deal. It’s spotting one after you’ve already invested three months in it. Research from Kristina Diekmann at the University of Utah found that what a seller originally paid for something distorts both parties’ expectations in a negotiation, even when that original price has no bearing on the asset’s current value. The same logic applies to time: the six weeks you spent on a partnership proposal don’t make the partnership any better, but they absolutely make you less willing to abandon it.

    Harvard’s Programme on Negotiation makes the point plainly: what’s already spent is gone. Your BATNA, your best alternative to a negotiated agreement, should be weighed against what comes next, not what you’ve already put in. If you don’t have one before you sit down to negotiate, you’re essentially negotiating from hope rather than position, and the other party can usually sense it.

    Signals worth taking seriously

    A counterparty that keeps reverting to initial terms after you’ve agreed to move past them isn’t forgetful. They’re most likely testing how much you’ll absorb rather than genuinely trying to find workable ground. Slow responses and withheld information don’t typically improve once you’re actually working together.

    Terms that chip away at your margins in ways that feel small at first are worth adding up properly. A pricing structure that feels borderline acceptable on day one has a habit of becoming genuinely painful by month six, particularly if the deal ties up resource that could go elsewhere. The question isn’t whether you can tolerate the terms today; it’s whether you’d design them this way if you were starting from scratch.

    Desperation on your side is also a signal, even if it’s an uncomfortable one to notice. Deals made under revenue pressure tend to attract onerous conditions, because the other party can usually tell you need it more than they do. If you find yourself arguing yourself into a deal rather than being genuinely convinced by it, that’s worth pausing on.

    What walking away actually looks like

    It doesn’t have to be dramatic. Being clear about your reasons, keeping the door open, and staying professional costs nothing and occasionally results in better terms coming back the other way once the other party realises you meant it. Burning bridges over a deal you turned down is just a waste.

    The practical discipline is to define your walk-away point before negotiations begin, not during them. When you’re in the room and the pressure is on, your sense of what’s acceptable shifts in ways you don’t always notice. A written note to yourself about minimum acceptable terms, made before any conversation starts, is a genuinely useful thing. It doesn’t need to be a sophisticated document. It just needs to exist.

    And every deal that isn’t right for you is time and attention that isn’t going to one that is. That’s the real cost of staying too long at a table that isn’t working.